Observations on the world today.

Monday, February 23, 2004

October May Come Early This Year 

Yahoo! News - CIA chief in secret visit to Pakistan

Western diplomats said there appeared to be new urgency in Washington to step up the hunt for Osama bin Laden (news - web sites) and other al-Qaeda members ahead of this year's US presidential election.

Okay, here is the thing. We know where bin Laden is. We basically have him cornered. We have members of the military AND the government telling us that he will definately be captured by the end of the year if not sooner. And we have the Pakistani president suddenly becomming very cooperative after Bush helped him skate on a sensitive cover-up of leaked nuclear secrets. Many people on the left are suggesting that this will lead to an "October Surprise." I agree, but I don't think Bush will wait until October.

Bush's poll numbers have been going steadily down. He had been hoping for several bounces lately, but did not get them. His lackluster performance at the SOU Address, paired with his dull performance on Meet the Press added in with the AWOL controversy, and suddenly Bush is even down in the latest FoxNews poll -- and that never happens.

Also, he had hoped of getting some bounce in June with the hand over of power in Iraq, but now that isn't going to happen. His options are wearing thin. Heck, people have even already lost interest in Hussein. Also the democratic race is turning out to be a real headline grabber, and the convention could turn out to be even more exciting still. This is why I think we may see the capture of Osama around the end of July or early August. This would take them into their own convention with a bang.

Get ready for it. Don't be caught off guard. Tell everyone you know to expect it no matter their affiliation. Expose it for the dog-wagging that it is. Don't let our convention be their Christmas in July.

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